Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001103 0.001253 0.001404 0.001566 0.001736 0.001908 0.002095
2025-08-24 0.000825 0.001034 0.001253 0.001496 0.001757 0.002026 0.002325
2025-08-31 0.000652 0.000905 0.001178 0.001491 0.001834 0.002195 0.002600
2025-09-07 0.000530 0.000817 0.001138 0.001515 0.001936 0.002385 0.002895
2025-09-14 0.000397 0.000700 0.001055 0.001482 0.001968 0.002495 0.003098
2025-09-21 0.000319 0.000640 0.001031 0.001511 0.002066 0.002672 0.003373
2025-09-28 0.000273 0.000613 0.001041 0.001577 0.002202 0.002890 0.003690
2025-10-05 0.000206 0.000550 0.001001 0.001578 0.002261 0.003020 0.003908
2025-10-12 0.000159 0.000507 0.000983 0.001604 0.002346 0.003177 0.004153
2025-10-19 0.000106 0.000443 0.000931 0.001584 0.002375 0.003267 0.004322
2025-10-26 0.000069 0.000394 0.000897 0.001582 0.002422 0.003377 0.004511
2025-11-02 0.000035 0.000338 0.000846 0.001557 0.002440 0.003450 0.004656
2025-11-09 0.000005 0.000269 0.000784 0.001533 0.002481 0.003577 0.004894
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000182 0.000682 0.001452 0.002451 0.003621 0.005039
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000135 0.000634 0.001440 0.002504 0.003763 0.005298
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000104 0.000610 0.001459 0.002596 0.003950 0.005608
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000063 0.000550 0.001424 0.002616 0.004051 0.005818
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000045 0.000535 0.001450 0.002715 0.004244 0.006134
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000038 0.000545 0.001513 0.002860 0.004493 0.006514
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000021 0.000515 0.001514 0.002922 0.004641 0.006776
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000011 0.000502 0.001539 0.003015 0.004824 0.007078
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000001 0.000463 0.001519 0.003047 0.004933 0.007291
2026-01-18 NaN NaN 0.000436 0.001517 0.003101 0.005067 0.007533